0xbfe8e5...ed5a76

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.6%

Total P&L

+$289

Trade Count

170

Sharpe Ratio

6.35

Sortino Ratio

154.10

Max Drawdown

118.7%

ROI

62.5%

Profit Factor

2.79

Kelly Fraction

0.132

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	BUY	52.0¢	1.923	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	2.66	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	BUY	28.9¢	3.46	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	3.125	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	24.0¢	4.167	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	BUY	14.9¢	6.711	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	BUY	10.9¢	9.164	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	14.3¢	6.973	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	BUY	14.9¢	6.711	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BUY	8.9¢	11.201	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	BUY	35.0¢	2.857	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.2%

Win Consistency79.0%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity170 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$2260d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue