0xbff02e...b31c9e

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.3%

Total P&L

+$36

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.29

Max Drawdown

5600.0%

ROI

4.1%

Profit Factor

811.51

Kelly Fraction

0.932

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	45.045	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 1?	BUY	99.8¢	67.134	Feb 28
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	74.074	Feb 27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	89.9¢	159	Feb 26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	159	Feb 26
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	144.144	Feb 24
Rockets vs. Pacers	BUY	68.0¢	111.765	Feb 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or higher on January 30?	BUY	99.5¢	13.065	Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 30?	BUY	99.7¢	15.045	Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on January 30?	BUY	99.8¢	27.054	Jan 29
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	BUY	99.8¢	32.064	Jan 28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on January 28?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Jan 28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on January 22?	BUY	99.6¢	27.108	Jan 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	99.9¢	11.011	Jan 20
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	24.024	Dec 30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Dec 30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Dec 30
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of December 29 above $4.00?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Dec 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity18 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$6100d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue