0xc0250b...2d971c

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.83

Sortino Ratio

-1.68

Max Drawdown

78580.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	20.99	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.45	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.44	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.43	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.42	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.41	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.39	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.38	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.37	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 21?	BUY	99.0¢	10.364	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.26	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?	BUY	99.5¢	10.251	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.2	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.19	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.18	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.17	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 16?	BUY	99.9¢	10.16	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.15	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?	BUY	99.9¢	10.14	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	10.13	Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.6%

Win Consistency20.9%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity67 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$6940d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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