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0xc07072...2fac85

0xc07072...2fac85
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
38.7%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
275
Sharpe Ratio
0.73
Sortino Ratio
2.73
Max Drawdown
7377.2%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.017
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY55.0¢3.636Mar 5
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY54.8¢5.478Mar 5
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL49.0¢2.5Mar 4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL32.0¢2.56Mar 4
Trump out as President before 2027?SELL17.0¢13.33Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY63.0¢7.937Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL49.0¢5.12Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY39.0¢5.128Mar 4
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL20.0¢20Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY59.0¢8.475Mar 3
Pistons vs. CavaliersBUY43.0¢2.326Mar 3
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL8.0¢9.09Mar 3
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL16.7¢10.81Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL18.4¢11.84Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY21.5¢4.651Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY56.0¢8.929Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.9¢34.483Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?BUY14.0¢7.143Mar 3
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY18.4¢5.435Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY22.0¢4.545Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%13%10–20%14%20–30%19%30–50%22%50–70%10%70–80%5%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.8%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity275 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1134d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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