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0xc0922d...1a5428

0xc0922d...1a5428
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
54.0%
Total P&L
-$6.0K
Trade Count
3,926
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Sortino Ratio
2.02
Max Drawdown
111.9%
ROI
-45.1%
Profit Factor
1.12
Kelly Fraction
0.057
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY24.0¢5.09Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY26.0¢5.09Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY26.0¢5.09Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY39.0¢6.5Mar 5
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY49.0¢6.5Mar 5
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?BUY71.6¢23.87Mar 5
Spread: CS Cienciano (-2.5)BUY87.0¢9.19Mar 5
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)BUY49.0¢6.51Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?BUY42.0¢5.09Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?BUY42.0¢6.5Mar 5
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY54.0¢7.01Mar 5
Will MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?BUY50.0¢6.34Mar 5
Will MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?BUY49.0¢6.5Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY84.0¢9Mar 4
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)BUY52.0¢0.31Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY87.0¢7.04Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY87.0¢1.36Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY18.0¢6.5Mar 4
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-08?BUY64.0¢5.15Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY43.0¢5.09Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%17%20–30%34%30–50%26%50–70%8%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.9%
Win Consistency51.4%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity3,926 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$13,3820d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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