0xc0b32c...2e293d

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.2%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

287

Sharpe Ratio

-1.32

Sortino Ratio

-1.18

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	9.2	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	9.193	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.6¢	7.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	7.042	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	6.19	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	5.45	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	5.459	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	93.7¢	7.47	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	93.7¢	7.471	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	5.32	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	93.9¢	5.325	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	3.49	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	4.832	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	9.474	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	9.61	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.9%

Win Consistency40.4%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.69

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity287 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$6497d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue