0xc0c979...655a57

Smart Score

Win Rate

16.4%

Total P&L

+$747

Trade Count

204

Sharpe Ratio

1.86

Sortino Ratio

16.49

Max Drawdown

11807.7%

ROI

22.1%

Profit Factor

1.37

Kelly Fraction

0.044

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	7.0¢	100.87	Mar 5
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	42.0¢	100.56	Mar 5
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	43.0¢	101	Mar 5
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	8.0¢	101	Mar 5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	15.0¢	1,903.9	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?	BUY	3.4¢	147.906	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?	BUY	2.3¢	217.391	Mar 5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	15.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	9.0¢	66.667	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	1.9¢	263.158	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?	BUY	4.8¢	209.488	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?	BUY	3.5¢	285.714	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	BUY	8.0¢	187.5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	BUY	2.9¢	347.844	Mar 4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	15.0¢	247.67	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	11.0¢	181.818	Mar 4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	15.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	15.2¢	250.132	Mar 4
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	2.1¢	2,006.847	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%

Win Consistency32.9%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity204 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

+$375d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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