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0xc0d814...bacfa2

0xc0d814...bacfa2
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
70.1%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
179
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24
Sortino Ratio
-0.29
Max Drawdown
2026.5%
ROI
-0.6%
Profit Factor
0.58
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢7.642Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.2¢7.5Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢11.29Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.3¢7.503Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢11.29Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢5.45Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢8.06Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢5.459Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)BUY96.6¢6.211Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢8.065Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢6.186Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢10.93Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢12.9Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢7.368Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢10.936Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢12.903Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.1¢13.72Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢13.722Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.0¢5.33Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY93.8¢5.33Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%6%70–80%7%80–90%72%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.1%
Win Consistency41.0%
Profit Factor0.15
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity179 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2960d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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