0xc1308d...e41bb6

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.8%

Total P&L

-$33.3K

Trade Count

115

Sharpe Ratio

0.03

Sortino Ratio

0.02

Max Drawdown

1287.3%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

-0.13

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	151	Feb 8
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	10.31	Dec 12
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	99.9¢	13.513	Nov 13
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	97.9¢	124	Oct 18
Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	5.706	Sep 15
Will Meta have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	99.9¢	2.402	Sep 15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on September 16?	BUY	99.7¢	4.614	Sep 15
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?	BUY	96.9¢	3.922	Sep 15
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?	BUY	99.8¢	7.214	Sep 15
Will Solana reach $340 in August?	BUY	99.4¢	7.445	Aug 19
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?	BUY	99.4¢	5.533	Aug 7
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?	BUY	98.1¢	4.077	Aug 7
Will Solana reach $250 in August?	BUY	96.6¢	7.246	Aug 7
Will Marco Rubio win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	3.507	Jul 23
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?	BUY	99.5¢	24.65	Jul 23
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BUY	99.9¢	6.806	Jul 6
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	2.705	Jul 6
Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	4.304	Jul 6
Rangers vs. Orioles	BUY	46.0¢	5.08	Jun 24
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?	BUY	99.9¢	13.36	Jun 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.5%

Win Consistency76.5%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity52 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$5510d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue