0xc140ce...3fac80

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.2%

Total P&L

+$516

Trade Count

2,163

Sharpe Ratio

0.27

Sortino Ratio

0.93

Max Drawdown

165.7%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

1.03

Kelly Fraction

0.018

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	250	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	38.0¢	250	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	199.97	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.7¢	18	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.7¢	432	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.5¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.5¢	512.93	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.5¢	155.039	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.5¢	195.69	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.5¢	3.66	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.5¢	50	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.5¢	70	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.5¢	60	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.5¢	10	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.5¢	70	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	83.3¢	54.69	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	83.3¢	0.21	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.5¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.0¢	200	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%

Win Consistency69.5%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity2,163 trades · 74 active days

P&L Calendar

$35,3644d profit70d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue