0xc18ec2...8e44e3

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.3%

Total P&L

+$358

Trade Count

1,178

Sharpe Ratio

0.65

Sortino Ratio

2.19

Max Drawdown

1529.8%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

7.86

Kelly Fraction

0.456

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	SELL	41.0¢	39.171	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	66.0¢	10	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	49.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.7¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	42.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	62.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	49.0¢	19.48	Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	48.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	48.0¢	4.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 4?	SELL	7.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 4?	SELL	5.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	29.8¢	20	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	85.0¢	28.7	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	85.0¢	23	Mar 4
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	27.0¢	20	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.04

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.8%

Win Consistency53.4%

Profit Factor0.96

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.59

Trading Activity1,178 trades · 95 active days

P&L Calendar

$77040d profit51d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue