0xc196ad...71c706

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

-$13

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.35

Sortino Ratio

-2.64

Max Drawdown

521.9%

ROI

-8.4%

Profit Factor

0.73

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	28.0¢	7.143	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	51.0¢	11.765	Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	54.0¢	37.037	Feb 28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?	BUY	0.9¢	568.546	Feb 26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	11.236	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	SELL	1.7¢	101.96	Feb 26
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	SELL	27.0¢	21.27	Feb 24
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	BUY	47.0¢	21.277	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	37.5	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	9.8¢	101.967	Feb 23
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	21.739	Feb 23
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	10.989	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	15.259	Feb 22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Feb 22

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity14 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$1411d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue