0xc1a030...c84a06

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.9%

Total P&L

-$20

Trade Count

131

Sharpe Ratio

-0.81

Sortino Ratio

-1.09

Max Drawdown

1565.4%

ROI

-2.8%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	42.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SELL	43.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	13.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	41.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	24.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	43.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	61.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	70.3¢	6.25	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	17.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	42.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	24.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	SELL	49.0¢	6	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	42.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	75.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	66.0¢	6.25	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity131 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$544d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue