0xc1eac2...764d9f

0xc1eac2...764d9f
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
18.5%
Total P&L
+$1.9K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.49
Sortino Ratio
4.35
Max Drawdown
29.4%
ROI
48.8%
Profit Factor
1.28
Kelly Fraction
0.040
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
042.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢14.83Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢5.556Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢9.51Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢22Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢40.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY14.0¢99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?BUY58.0¢14Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢15.54Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢5.053Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢5Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢5Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢3.191Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢5.319Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢3.809Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢21.277Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢1.628Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢5.26Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%18%10–20%4%20–30%28%30–50%18%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.3%
Win Consistency46.6%
Profit Factor1.09
Drawdown Resilience0.88
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88
Weekly Sharpe est.0.67
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 9 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,9620d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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