Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xc27b86...69d21e

0xc27b86...69d21e
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
18.2%
Total P&L
+$23
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
-3.82
Sortino Ratio
-3.72
Max Drawdown
175.7%
ROI
5.7%
Profit Factor
39.47
Kelly Fraction
0.177
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
07.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.1¢30.764Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.2¢76.92Mar 3
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢39.34Mar 3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 2
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢39.342Mar 2
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢32.01Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL3.8¢29.47Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢29.474Feb 28
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢32.018Feb 28
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢36.51Feb 27
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.1¢83.33Feb 27
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢36.508Feb 26
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢83.333Feb 26
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢100Feb 25
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢25.61Feb 25
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.0¢100Feb 24
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢25.617Feb 24
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.9¢24.6Feb 23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL4.3¢28.44Feb 23

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%44%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing7.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.5%
Win Consistency7.1%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.15
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity28 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$576d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics