0xc299d5...862d8b

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.19

Sortino Ratio

0.85

Max Drawdown

35.1%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

2.71

Kelly Fraction

0.473

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	19.6	Mar 5
Will China join the Board of Peace?	BUY	97.7¢	5.65	Mar 5
Will China join the Board of Peace?	BUY	97.7¢	5.66	Mar 5
Will China join the Board of Peace?	BUY	99.3¢	13.2	Feb 25
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	20.1	Feb 25
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BUY	98.7¢	34.448	Feb 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	33	Feb 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	20	Feb 3
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	20	Feb 3
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	20	Feb 3
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	SELL	98.7¢	28	Jan 29
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.7¢	20	Jan 20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	26	Jan 20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	31	Jan 20
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	BUY	97.6¢	28	Jan 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.5%

Win Consistency83.3%

Profit Factor1.39

Drawdown Resilience1.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.85

Trading Activity15 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2661d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue