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0xc2d582...812884

0xc2d582...812884
Smart Score
78
Win Rate
86.4%
Total P&L
+$184.2K
Trade Count
998
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Sortino Ratio
7.34
Max Drawdown
50.6%
ROI
342.0%
Profit Factor
25.48
Kelly Fraction
0.831
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
078.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?SELL69.2¢5,000Jun 17
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?BUY3.0¢4,923.77Jun 8
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?BUY3.0¢13,907.2Jun 8
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?BUY3.0¢826Jun 8
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?BUY3.0¢343.03Jun 8
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?BUY35.0¢5,000Jun 6
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?BUY35.4¢914.9Jun 6
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?BUY35.4¢4,085.1Jun 6
MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?BUY81.0¢121.01Jun 6
MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?BUY84.0¢328.98Jun 5
MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?BUY84.0¢990Jun 5
MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?BUY84.0¢3,681.02Jun 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢40Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢246.52Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢25Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢19.99Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢50Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢30Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢25Jun 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY7.0¢360Jun 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%93%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro78.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)71.3%
Win Consistency75.0%
Profit Factor2.04
Drawdown Resilience1.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.64
Weekly Sharpe est.1.25
Trading Activity44 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$13,0431d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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