0xc2db1b...300cf3

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.8%

Total P&L

+$8.6K

Trade Count

1,198

Sharpe Ratio

-0.62

Sortino Ratio

-0.65

Max Drawdown

6004.4%

ROI

1.4%

Profit Factor

8.86

Kelly Fraction

0.832

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	510	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	154	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	2,125.39	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	3,000	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	3,532.69	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	91.0¢	18.9	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	61	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	243	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	5,838.37	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	87.0¢	1,355.26	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	10,944.93	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	200	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	64.79	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	57.0¢	2.58	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	71.2¢	2.584	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	98.3¢	1	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	98.3¢	1	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	2,310.8	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	98.7¢	2,252.27	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity1,198 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$97,5129d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue