0xc2f7dc...fa0e1a

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

270.7%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	19.739	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.5¢	19.819	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	23.727	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	19.739	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	15.795	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	19.739	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	19.739	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	23.703	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?	BUY	99.6¢	19.799	Feb 23
Will XRP dip to $0.90 February 16-22?	BUY	99.8¢	15.812	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	7.887	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	11.841	Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	15.812	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	15.827	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	23.703	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	23.703	Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	7.944	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	15.795	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	7.904	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	15.827	Feb 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency18.4%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity57 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$7072d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue