0xc30585...fdd80d

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$77

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.87

Sortino Ratio

4.01

Max Drawdown

75900.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.45

Kelly Fraction

0.207

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,297.09	Mar 5
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.1¢	1,379.5	Mar 5
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.2¢	1,379.5	Mar 4
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	1,116	Mar 4
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	1,116	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	BUY	82.0¢	230.39	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	104.499	Mar 3
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	1,436	Mar 3
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	1,436	Mar 3
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5	BUY	49.0¢	164.56	Mar 3
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	50.0¢	211.38	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	1,163	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.6¢	1,163	Mar 1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	61.0¢	212.89	Feb 27
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1,207	Feb 26
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1,207	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	34.776	Feb 26
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,293.66	Feb 25
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,293.66	Feb 25
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?	BUY	45.0¢	25.87	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%

Win Consistency17.2%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity51 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,0200d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue