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0xc3262a...201db1

0xc3262a...201db1
Smart Score
79
Win Rate
71.8%
Total P&L
+$9.7K
Trade Count
925
Sharpe Ratio
5.34
Sortino Ratio
36.59
Max Drawdown
64.3%
ROI
42.1%
Profit Factor
3.36
Kelly Fraction
0.504
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
078.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL20.0¢97.61Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢173.61Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY72.0¢50Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL40.0¢36.86Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY86.0¢28Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢5.5Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢1.927Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢2.109Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢2.109Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢2.109Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢2.109Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢1.927Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢1.927Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢1.891Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢3.509Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢1.25Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL78.4¢3.44Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL78.4¢9.554Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY19.0¢49.46Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY55.0¢100Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%5%10–20%11%20–30%18%30–50%32%50–70%20%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro78.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)71.6%
Win Consistency75.0%
Profit Factor2.05
Drawdown Resilience1.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.65
Weekly Sharpe est.1.26
Trading Activity925 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2682d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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