0xc33a02...accc98

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.4%

Total P&L

+$238

Trade Count

196

Sharpe Ratio

0.49

Sortino Ratio

13.54

Max Drawdown

126.8%

ROI

1.6%

Profit Factor

2.84

Kelly Fraction

0.553

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	2,000	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	7,000	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	15.1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	15.1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	15.1	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	97.4¢	8.3	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	98.6¢	20.284	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.5¢	10.047	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	15.1	Mar 4
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	74.0¢	40.541	Mar 4
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?	BUY	95.0¢	52.632	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	106.383	Mar 4
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?	BUY	98.6¢	101.42	Mar 4
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	BUY	91.0¢	109.89	Mar 4
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.3¢	40	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 4?	BUY	97.2¢	11.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	3.34	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	15.1	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.8%

Win Consistency72.2%

Profit Factor1.16

Drawdown Resilience0.94

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.94

Weekly Sharpe est.0.72

Trading Activity196 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,8294d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue