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0xc33f70...ac3cc1

0xc33f70...ac3cc1
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
87.5%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Sortino Ratio
-0.12
Max Drawdown
532.9%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
0.87
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY83.0¢17.518Mar 5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY73.0¢7.548Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY85.4¢13.97Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY85.0¢11.97Feb 11
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?BUY94.4¢18.665Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?BUY84.5¢7.633Jan 24
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?BUY83.9¢13.445Jan 5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?BUY84.7¢14.179Dec 4
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?BUY96.0¢12.01Nov 20
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?BUY35.0¢10Nov 19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?BUY35.0¢10Nov 19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?BUY95.9¢8.53Nov 11
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?SELL55.0¢14.86Nov 9
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?BUY92.0¢14.87Nov 8
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?SELL98.7¢13.86Nov 8
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?BUY97.0¢13.866Nov 7
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY86.0¢13.453Oct 28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?BUY94.0¢11.574Oct 25
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY94.9¢10.875Oct 24
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?BUY96.7¢10.321Oct 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%30%80–90%55%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.9%
Win Consistency77.5%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity24 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1672d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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