0xc38bdb...2fcbb5

0xc38bdb...2fcbb5
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
96.3%
Total P&L
+$12
Trade Count
84
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Sortino Ratio
0.05
Max Drawdown
93.8%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
4.10
Kelly Fraction
0.729
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
036.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.6¢32.129Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY99.9¢32.032Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?BUY99.9¢32.032Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?BUY99.9¢28.998Feb 8
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?BUY99.9¢2.002Feb 8
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 8?BUY99.9¢1.001Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?BUY99.6¢21.084Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY99.9¢20.02Jan 29
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?BUY99.9¢5.005Jan 29
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?BUY99.9¢5.005Jan 29
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY99.4¢1.006Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?BUY99.9¢31.031Jan 6
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?BUY99.0¢27.273Dec 26
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?BUY99.9¢1.001Dec 26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?BUY99.4¢28.531Dec 15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?BUY99.4¢26.298Dec 10
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY99.7¢2.006Dec 10
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY96.7¢1.034Dec 10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?BUY97.4¢1.027Dec 10
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.9¢21.721Nov 26
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.9%
Win Consistency74.4%
Profit Factor0.94
Drawdown Resilience0.76
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity67 trades · 24 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,0290d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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