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0xc3a3da...61b441

0xc3a3da...61b441
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
46.7%
Total P&L
+$441
Trade Count
1,387
Sharpe Ratio
0.64
Sortino Ratio
28.90
Max Drawdown
905.8%
ROI
6.8%
Profit Factor
2.08
Kelly Fraction
0.242
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY25.0¢4Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?BUY10.0¢10Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY12.3¢8.13Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY33.0¢3.03Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY65.2¢1.534Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL57.7¢1Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL56.3¢1Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL53.7¢1Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?BUY15.2¢6.563Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY19.7¢5.076Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?BUY10.5¢9.545Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY12.4¢8.065Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY48.1¢16.632Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY48.1¢4.158Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL52.8¢5.08Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%7%10–20%7%20–30%19%30–50%19%50–70%8%70–80%12%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.7%
Win Consistency55.3%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity1,387 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2595d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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