0xc3b6a3...bf1235

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.6%

Total P&L

-$228

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

0.67

Max Drawdown

108.5%

ROI

-35.3%

Profit Factor

0.05

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.6¢	15.015	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.6¢	15.015	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.4¢	8.143	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.9¢	7.949	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.6¢	7.987	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	19.0¢	10.526	Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.1¢	122.561	Mar 2
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	111.111	Mar 1
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	100	Mar 1
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Feb 28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?	BUY	2.1¢	38	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	18.0¢	50	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	19.0¢	75.38	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	19.0¢	6.17	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	19.0¢	12.346	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	19.0¢	4.852	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	19.0¢	1.235	Feb 28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	SELL	25.0¢	35.71	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	20.0¢	65.41	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	20.0¢	8.19	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity72 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$2930d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue