0xc42798...776f4d

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.7%

Total P&L

+$612

Trade Count

263

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

1.17

Max Drawdown

679.5%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.066

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	28.0¢	410	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	53.0¢	47.91	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	19.0¢	472.11	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	37.0¢	190	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	131.45	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	211	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	8.4	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	1.19	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	5.952	Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	52.0¢	95.14	Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	52.0¢	10.1	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	5.99	Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	52.0¢	70.833	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	16.0¢	100	Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	52.0¢	23.92	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	593.63	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	31.897	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	540.669	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	21.071	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity263 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2043d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue