0xc4337b...b85231

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.3%

Total P&L

+$248

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.36

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

9187.7%

ROI

11.8%

Profit Factor

8.25

Kelly Fraction

0.592

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	2.004	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	2.008	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	4.317	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	3.003	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	4.02	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.1¢	4.036	Mar 5
Senators vs. Canadiens	BUY	51.0¢	137.07	Dec 2
Senators vs. Canadiens	BUY	51.0¢	432.29	Dec 2
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	89.0¢	33.92	Dec 2
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	97.8¢	15	Nov 15
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	98.2¢	15	Nov 15
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.1¢	15	Oct 12
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.6¢	15	Oct 12
Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?	BUY	99.8¢	30.29	Sep 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	98.3¢	19	Sep 23
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?	BUY	98.1¢	48.91	Aug 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?	BUY	99.4¢	47.98	Jul 14
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	SELL	92.1¢	51.78	Jul 14
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	BUY	98.4¢	51.78	Jul 4
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?	BUY	98.5¢	50.95	Jun 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.4%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity21 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$5861d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue