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0xc435b5...6a2494

0xc435b5...6a2494
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
22.4%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
154
Sharpe Ratio
1.41
Sortino Ratio
316.76
Max Drawdown
627.7%
ROI
52.9%
Profit Factor
2.66
Kelly Fraction
0.140
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY10.0¢300Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY18.0¢44Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL32.0¢24.7Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY34.0¢24.709Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL17.0¢49.6Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY24.6¢49.6Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.1¢2,000Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL19.0¢75Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢75Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL0.1¢11.97Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL61.1¢19.99Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL50.0¢4.61Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Iran" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL50.0¢2.16Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY59.0¢1.695Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY59.0¢1.695Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY59.0¢1.695Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY59.0¢1.695Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY58.0¢1.724Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY58.4¢8.559Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%54%< 10%17%10–20%10%20–30%4%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.80
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.8%
Win Consistency46.9%
Profit Factor0.85
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity154 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6034d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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