0xc4a89f...524212

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.3%

Total P&L

+$235

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.81

Sortino Ratio

-0.59

Max Drawdown

8112.8%

ROI

3.0%

Profit Factor

21.03

Kelly Fraction

0.736

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	47.051	Mar 5
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	611.009	Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	62.696	Mar 4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	626	Mar 3
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	626.008	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	52.052	Mar 3
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	607	Mar 1
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	607.006	Mar 1
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	494	Feb 28
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	494	Feb 28
Lakers vs. Warriors	BUY	61.0¢	119.672	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	89.1¢	100.8	Feb 28
Rockets vs. Heat	BUY	41.0¢	339.024	Feb 27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.5¢	570	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.2¢	100.806	Feb 27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	570	Feb 26
Will Solana reach $190 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	874	Feb 25
Will Solana reach $190 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	874.004	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	24.024	Feb 16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	30.06	Feb 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%

Win Consistency43.5%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity32 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3282d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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