0xc4c124...e77324

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.1%

Total P&L

-$28

Trade Count

424

Sharpe Ratio

0.48

Sortino Ratio

1.43

Max Drawdown

155.8%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.99

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	SELL	73.0¢	42.726	Mar 4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	100	Mar 4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	30.54	Mar 4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	65.41	Mar 3
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	5	Mar 3
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	19.98	Mar 3
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	9.61	Mar 3
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March?	BUY	25.0¢	50	Mar 3
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	719.85	Mar 3
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	55.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	5.48	Mar 3
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	6.57	Mar 2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	14.28	Mar 2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	73.67	Mar 2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	33	Mar 2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	67	Mar 2
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	7.46	Mar 2
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 2
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	60	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.9%

Win Consistency70.5%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity424 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,0259d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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