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0xc4de2f...d94851

0xc4de2f...d94851
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
-$44
Trade Count
22
Sharpe Ratio
2.60
Sortino Ratio
84.41
Max Drawdown
90.1%
ROI
-20.2%
Profit Factor
0.51
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?BUY13.5¢59.191Mar 5
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY8.0¢25Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY57.0¢17.544Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY72.9¢27.435Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL65.2¢2.08Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY76.6¢2.089Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL2.4¢8.33Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢467.84Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?BUY21.0¢9.524Mar 2
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY10.4¢28.846Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.3¢467.846Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY30.2¢49.669Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY44.7¢58.166Feb 28
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?BUY70.0¢14.286Feb 28
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?BUY70.0¢14.286Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY72.0¢6.944Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY32.0¢31.25Feb 28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY23.8¢42.083Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL10.4¢111.11Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%22%< 10%17%10–20%11%20–30%17%30–50%17%50–70%17%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.5%
Win Consistency37.5%
Profit Factor0.79
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity22 trades · 5 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1890d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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