0xc4f825...a997b3

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.7%

Total P&L

+$253

Trade Count

1,060

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.14

Max Drawdown

6528.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.035

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	81.5¢	493.462	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	73.6¢	203.806	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	91.1¢	120	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	91.1¢	6.345	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	56.1¢	106.952	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	55.1¢	19.4	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	82.1¢	168.16	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	36.9¢	168.162	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	97.3¢	443.55	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	90.2¢	443.552	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	17.6¢	175.743	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	13.6¢	205.882	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	85.3¢	538.58	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	87.2¢	353.334	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.7¢	311.85	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	311.85	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	71.3¢	185.252	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	106.03	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	56.6¢	106.034	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	84.9¢	473	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.4%

Win Consistency36.1%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity1,060 trades · 95 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,14138d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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