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0xc53981...08f811

0xc53981...08f811
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
52.2%
Total P&L
+$7
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
2.15
Sortino Ratio
6.15
Max Drawdown
1266.7%
ROI
29.5%
Profit Factor
1.84
Kelly Fraction
0.238
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY18.0¢5.6Mar 4
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY73.7¢1.357Mar 4
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?BUY74.0¢1.351Mar 4
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY69.0¢1.5Mar 3
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?BUY76.0¢1.4Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY28.2¢3.546Feb 28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY18.0¢5.556Feb 28
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY39.0¢2.564Feb 28
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY39.0¢2.564Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY58.0¢1.724Feb 28
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY1.8¢55.789Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY38.0¢2.632Feb 27
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY19.0¢5.263Feb 26
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY68.0¢1.471Feb 26
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY14.6¢6.849Feb 26
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?BUY72.0¢1.389Feb 26
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY16.7¢5.988Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY40.0¢2.5Feb 24
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY78.0¢1.282Feb 24
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?BUY20.0¢5Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%29%10–20%13%20–30%21%30–50%13%50–70%21%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.0%
Win Consistency47.8%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity24 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$240d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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