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0xc53e16...03ce36

0xc53e16...03ce36
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
79.0%
Total P&L
+$2.3K
Trade Count
268
Sharpe Ratio
1.11
Sortino Ratio
16.93
Max Drawdown
4114.3%
ROI
25.5%
Profit Factor
3.45
Kelly Fraction
0.561
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.4¢130Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.7¢130Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢60Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢60Mar 4
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.6¢60Mar 4
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.8¢60Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢50Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢50Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY1.1¢100Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY99.0¢100Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.2¢110Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY83.9¢110Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL1.1¢70Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.6¢70Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢60Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.3¢60Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL96.0¢30Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY96.2¢30Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢50Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%30–50%6%50–70%4%70–80%3%80–90%37%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.5%
Win Consistency43.2%
Profit Factor1.21
Drawdown Resilience0.98
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98
Weekly Sharpe est.0.75
Trading Activity268 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,3950d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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