0xc54dd8...c88be1

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.0%

Total P&L

+$3.2K

Trade Count

315

Sharpe Ratio

-6.74

Sortino Ratio

-7.92

Max Drawdown

147428.1%

ROI

5.2%

Profit Factor

2.49

Kelly Fraction

0.520

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	98.9¢	373.89	Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	BUY	99.0¢	280.89	Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?	BUY	99.0¢	244.89	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	8.35	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	31.08	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	2.32	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	2.68	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	2.08	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	2.31	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Auto" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	98.0¢	47.45	Mar 3
Will Trump say "ICE" or "Border Patrol" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	98.0¢	11.73	Mar 3
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	26.18	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	2.7	Mar 3
Will Trump say "ICE" or "Border Patrol" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	98.0¢	3.33	Mar 3
Will Trump say "France" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	98.0¢	26.51	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	2.54	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	6.83	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Low IQ" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	0.1¢	9.9	Mar 3
Will Trump say "ICE" or "Border Patrol" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	98.0¢	3.38	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	99.0¢	4.47	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%

Win Consistency22.6%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity315 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$7179d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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