Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xc556fe...3cc1d9

0xc556fe...3cc1d9
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
25.4%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
281
Sharpe Ratio
0.48
Sortino Ratio
5.72
Max Drawdown
1794.5%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.020
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY40.5¢2.469Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY23.1¢4.329Mar 4
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?SELL0.2¢3.57Mar 4
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?BUY50.0¢2Mar 4
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY16.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.5¢200Mar 4
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY17.2¢5.814Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY23.0¢4.348Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY76.6¢1.305Mar 4
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?SELL0.1¢50Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY37.4¢3.503Jan 30
US government shutdown Saturday?SELL25.0¢3.84Jan 30
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?BUY2.0¢50Jan 26
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?BUY29.0¢3.448Jan 26
Will Eyüpspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?SELL99.9¢2.36Jan 26
Will Eyüpspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?BUY57.0¢2.368Jan 26
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26?BUY36.0¢2.778Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?SELL99.9¢2.32Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?BUY43.0¢2.326Jan 26

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%19%10–20%19%20–30%19%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%
Win Consistency40.2%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity281 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$821d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics