0xc5bdf0...71ceaa

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.7%

Total P&L

+$7.6K

Trade Count

3,937

Sharpe Ratio

1.47

Sortino Ratio

10.29

Max Drawdown

109.6%

ROI

4.5%

Profit Factor

2.97

Kelly Fraction

0.403

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	89.5¢	0.08	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	88.1¢	30	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	140	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	78.0¢	5	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	78.0¢	30.27	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	75.83	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	37.0¢	128.18	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	36.0¢	128.14	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	37.1¢	41	Mar 4
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	SELL	94.9¢	84.12	Mar 4
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?	BUY	88.0¢	20	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	0.69	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	19.47	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	SELL	56.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	34.0¢	36.24	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	57.0¢	20	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	20	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	33.0¢	40	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	50.0¢	20	Mar 4
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?	SELL	88.0¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.4%

Win Consistency50.2%

Profit Factor1.10

Drawdown Resilience0.89

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89

Weekly Sharpe est.0.68

Trading Activity3,937 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,1456d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue