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0xc5edd3...839374

0xc5edd3...839374
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
65.8%
Total P&L
-$15.1K
Trade Count
3,399
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Sortino Ratio
5.83
Max Drawdown
3815.4%
ROI
-1.0%
Profit Factor
0.12
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY98.0¢30.612Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY83.4¢23.981Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY25.0¢4Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY3.9¢25.641Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY0.5¢200Mar 5
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY1.5¢67.533Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY99.8¢30.06Mar 5
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY99.8¢50.1Mar 5
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY99.6¢50.201Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY98.6¢304.39Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.6¢200.745Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY64.0¢500Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.8¢253.8Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢1,016.04Mar 5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL93.0¢27.74Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL77.0¢92.33Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL77.0¢12.987Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL77.0¢12.987Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL77.0¢15.714Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL77.0¢5.55Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%62%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.3%
Win Consistency39.5%
Profit Factor0.21
Drawdown Resilience0.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.13
Trading Activity3,399 trades · 104 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$127,26435d profit68d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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