0xc61090...d85d03

Smart Score

Win Rate

7.3%

Total P&L

-$9.3K

Trade Count

159

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

16.22

Max Drawdown

1270.1%

ROI

-51.0%

Profit Factor

0.16

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	SELL	1.0¢	8,070.61	Feb 13
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	SELL	1.0¢	1,853.34	Feb 13
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?	SELL	7.1¢	1,461.2	Feb 11
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	SELL	1.0¢	4,590.566	Feb 8
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	BUY	1.0¢	17,715.234	Feb 8
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	BUY	4.1¢	2,073.555	Feb 2
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	0.5¢	150,000	Feb 2
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	SELL	1.5¢	839.47	Jan 31
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group C	BUY	0.3¢	572.946	Jan 30
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-30?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Jan 30
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Jan 30
LoL: Yumeea vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group C	BUY	1.0¢	294.888	Jan 29
LoL: Yumeea vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group C	BUY	0.3¢	961.946	Jan 29
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-29?	BUY	2.0¢	250	Jan 29
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-29?	BUY	1.8¢	278.939	Jan 29
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-29?	BUY	1.0¢	500	Jan 29
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-29?	BUY	1.9¢	261.44	Jan 29
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-29?	BUY	1.9¢	258.817	Jan 29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	25.0¢	2,941.17	Jan 27
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?	BUY	3.9¢	25.641	Jan 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency21.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity159 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,8436d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue