0xc624cc...d2ee24

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.7%

Total P&L

-$3.9K

Trade Count

3,871

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.60

Max Drawdown

130.0%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.82

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	22.727	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	13.889	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	34.0¢	294.118	Mar 5
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	BUY	82.3¢	24.301	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	80.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	5.7¢	14.92	Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	3.7¢	23.22	Mar 4
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.8¢	44.64	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.2¢	33.223	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	39.7¢	127.4	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	43.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	48.4¢	20.661	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	42.2¢	11.848	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	42.2¢	94.882	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	BUY	12.0¢	125	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	BUY	12.0¢	41.667	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	50.0¢	90.9	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	85.0¢	294.118	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	44.0¢	90.909	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency54.9%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity3,871 trades · 111 active days

P&L Calendar

$76,42428d profit82d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue