0xc62769...18dd3f

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.1%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.07

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

211.5%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	76.066	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	75.995	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	75.915	Feb 13
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	75.835	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	21.277	Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?	BUY	99.8¢	74.489	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	74.344	Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 10?	BUY	0.2¢	700	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	75.666	Jan 5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	75.586	Dec 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 22?	BUY	99.8¢	75.15	Dec 21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	75.361	Dec 13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	75.215	Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	72.132	Nov 30
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 25?	BUY	99.9¢	72.062	Nov 24
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	71.981	Nov 19
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	19.019	Nov 7
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	2.002	Nov 7
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	21.021	Nov 4
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Nov 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.3%

Win Consistency57.8%

Profit Factor0.32

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity38 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2201d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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