Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xc62f83...a9ca69

0xc62f83...a9ca69
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
86.4%
Total P&L
+$18
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Sortino Ratio
-0.24
Max Drawdown
337.5%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
3.26
Kelly Fraction
0.599
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?BUY97.8¢1.431Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?BUY99.9¢1.201Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢100.1Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY97.5¢97.436Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.8¢3.006Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.7¢2.006Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.8¢100.2Feb 12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?BUY0.2¢1,265Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.9¢102.542Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY99.8¢102.435Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢102.232Feb 2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY99.8¢100Jan 30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.0¢98.596Jan 27
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢96.509Jan 22
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY99.8¢95.19Jan 17
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY88.7¢1.127Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY99.7¢1.003Jan 16
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢1.102Jan 16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢1.203Jan 16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 16

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%3%70–80%8%80–90%78%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.0%
Win Consistency54.2%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity59 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,6350d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics