0xc63b53...3cda3f

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$432

Trade Count

988

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

1.15

Max Drawdown

1852.1%

ROI

6.0%

Profit Factor

1.58

Kelly Fraction

0.198

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	16.0¢	35	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	7.93	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	27.0¢	74.074	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	28.0¢	71.429	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	26.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	8.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	78.0¢	8.22	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	3.6¢	295	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	44.0¢	28.96	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	93.2¢	30	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	44.0¢	3.5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	43.0¢	17.54	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	3.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	3.7¢	50	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	14.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	78.0¢	6.9	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	78.0¢	14.88	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	25.0¢	100	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	84.0¢	20	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	86.0¢	10	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.2%

Win Consistency50.2%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity988 trades · 61 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,94314d profit47d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue