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0xc649ac...cefd12

0xc649ac...cefd12
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
80.6%
Total P&L
+$213
Trade Count
96
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Sortino Ratio
2.76
Max Drawdown
26891.5%
ROI
6.9%
Profit Factor
208.62
Kelly Fraction
0.803
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY99.7¢282.83Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.6¢100Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.6¢100Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 25?BUY99.6¢12.78Feb 23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.2¢20Feb 23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.7¢20Feb 23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.7¢30Feb 23
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY99.8¢22.42Feb 10
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY96.9¢30Feb 10
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY99.8¢30Feb 10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.0¢100Feb 10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.1¢100Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY67.0¢52.07Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY67.0¢5Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY67.0¢3.03Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY67.0¢5Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY67.0¢3.03Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY67.0¢3.03Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSELL98.0¢199.61Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETBUY9.8¢200Feb 10

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%9%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%72%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.4%
Win Consistency46.9%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity96 trades · 11 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6463d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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