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0xc67e6b...039b37

0xc67e6b...039b37
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
69.6%
Total P&L
+$19
Trade Count
445
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Sortino Ratio
2.35
Max Drawdown
1511.2%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
3.84
Kelly Fraction
0.515
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢8.28Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢8.282Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.6¢16.16Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.0¢16.162Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢9.677Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.49Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.1¢15.43Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢8.37Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢10.28Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢10.36Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL77.0¢5.15Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢8.333Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢5.2Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢5.208Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢11.94Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢9.027Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢9.574Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢10.267Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%7%70–80%9%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.8%
Win Consistency38.9%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity445 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$60210d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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