0xc680ec...d3e94c

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.4%

Total P&L

-$6.6K

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

1.87

Sortino Ratio

15.94

Max Drawdown

9.6%

ROI

-14.4%

Profit Factor

0.40

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	1.0¢	15,535	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	1.0¢	235	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	1.0¢	1,030	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.9¢	3,998.62	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	SELL	0.2¢	101,833.35	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BUY	57.0¢	10.947	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.6¢	2,164.55	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	SELL	2.0¢	960.22	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	54.6¢	975.213	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	SELL	9.3¢	959.86	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	33.0¢	303.055	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	44.7¢	670.761	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.8¢	11,726.46	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.6¢	21,206.16	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	63.0¢	495.58	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	65.5¢	1,135.94	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	64.0¢	11.56	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	60.0¢	50	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	60.0¢	487.95	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	64.0¢	35.24	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.6%

Win Consistency65.6%

Profit Factor1.13

Drawdown Resilience0.91

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity997 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,7314d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue