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0xc692b0...84dfa6

0xc692b0...84dfa6
Smart Score
60
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$98
Trade Count
69
Sharpe Ratio
1.00
Sortino Ratio
4.06
Max Drawdown
13.5%
ROI
2.1%
Profit Factor
1.50
Kelly Fraction
0.167
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
060.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY21.0¢47.619Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL58.3¢82.7Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL12.0¢277.77Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?BUY5.5¢182.636Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY24.2¢82.706Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?SELL84.1¢107.52Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL57.1¢101.66Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?BUY46.5¢107.526Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?BUY64.0¢31.25Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢421.053Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY68.6¢29.155Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY76.0¢131.612Mar 3
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY24.0¢125Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY41.8¢71.718Mar 3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY75.0¢40Mar 3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY58.0¢86.207Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY18.0¢277.778Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL88.0¢413.85Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY89.0¢112.36Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY80.4¢224.571Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%11%10–20%17%20–30%15%30–50%11%50–70%6%70–80%15%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active60.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.7%
Win Consistency57.9%
Profit Factor1.56
Drawdown Resilience1.26
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.26
Weekly Sharpe est.0.96
Trading Activity69 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2709d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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