0xc6d422...e55c1c

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.2%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

0.65

Max Drawdown

21.1%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

29.14

Kelly Fraction

0.823

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

065.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	14.649	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	16.08	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	15.25	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SELL	94.1¢	16.65	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	16.656	Feb 26
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.3¢	15.259	Feb 26
Will Solana dip to $50 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	10.812	Jan 6
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 7?	BUY	98.5¢	10.152	Jan 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Jan 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	10.81	Jan 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	10.819	Dec 30
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?	BUY	99.7¢	10.03	Dec 30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Dec 30
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	30.692	Nov 24
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?	BUY	99.2¢	16.482	Oct 19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?	BUY	99.1¢	14.127	Oct 19
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?	BUY	98.8¢	30.344	Sep 16
Will Solana dip to $100 in August?	BUY	99.3¢	29.98	Aug 11
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?	BUY	99.5¢	29.769	Jul 16
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?	BUY	99.8¢	29.619	Jun 9

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active65.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.9%

Win Consistency81.5%

Profit Factor1.71

Drawdown Resilience1.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.38

Weekly Sharpe est.1.05

Trading Activity22 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$3161d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue