0xc71081...8478f8

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.4%

Total P&L

-$20

Trade Count

466

Sharpe Ratio

0.04

Sortino Ratio

0.04

Max Drawdown

347.4%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.96

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	80	Mar 5
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	100	Mar 5
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	35.61	Mar 5
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	107.26	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	BUY	96.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	BUY	98.5¢	120	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	125	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	120	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	120	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	92.0¢	140	Feb 11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?	SELL	98.8¢	90	Feb 5
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	97.2¢	16.9	Feb 4
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	97.2¢	14.403	Feb 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	SELL	96.4¢	20.36	Feb 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	SELL	96.4¢	3.05	Feb 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	SELL	96.4¢	37.344	Feb 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	SELL	96.4¢	19.24	Feb 4
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	97.2¢	48.69	Feb 4
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	BUY	98.8¢	401	Feb 3
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	97.0¢	80	Feb 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.6%

Win Consistency54.3%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity466 trades · 67 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,76135d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue